The truckload market is expected to have a weak outlook for the fourth quarter, with projections for better conditions in 2026.

Truckload volumes are projected to remain low in Q4, with potential improvement expected by 2026, as indicated in RXO's Curve report. While October and November showed slight year-over-year gains, spot rates are likely to stagnate. Contributing factors to the current market pressure include shifting trade policies and enforcement changes. Manufacturing output remains significantly below 2007 levels, impacting freight demand. However, recent Federal Reserve rate cuts could stimulate economic activity and support manufacturing recovery, suggesting a possible shift in demand dynamics.